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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
BOND YIELDS RISING ABOVE STOCK YIELDS IS NOT A REASON FOR CONCERN
BOND YIELDS RISING ABOVE STOCK YIELDS IS NOT A REASON FOR CONCERN In early August 2020, the spread between the S&P 500 dividend yield and...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
THE OUTPERFORMANCE OF SMALL CAPS IS AT AN EXTREME
THE OUTPERFORMANCE OF SMALL CAPS IS AT AN EXTREME TPA monitors the performance and relative performance of broad market categories in the...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
STOCK PERFORMANCE PATTERNS MIRROR HISTORICAL RISING RATE PERIODS
STOCK PERFORMANCE PATTERNS MIRROR HISTORICAL RISING RATE PERIODS Since October, TPA has been telling clients to position their portfolios...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
HIGH SHORT INTEREST BASKET -RGS, IGMS, REV, IFF, MDGL.
If you can’t beat them, join them. Today’s recommendation is apolitical, unbiased, and objective. This is a moment in time when a...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
ARE LOTTERY-LIKE FACTORS DRIVING THE STOCK MARKET?
ARE LOTTERY-LIKE FACTORS DRIVING THE STOCK MARKET? The S&P500 closed yesterday at 3855.36, which is up 72% since the March low close of...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
Investment Performance issues? Try this...
Performance issues? Don’t change your strategy (the WHAT), add TPA to improve WHEN and WHERE you buy. After 11 years of serving a small...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
Investment Performance issues? Try this...
Underperformance issues? Don’t change your strategy (the WHAT), add TPA to improve WHEN and WHERE you buy. After 11 years of serving a...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
WHAT STOCKS ARE DRIVING THIS RALLY?
WHAT STOCKS ARE DRIVING THIS RALLY? After a brief retreat, stocks have powered ahead in 2021. The S&P 500 is up 1.61% YTD, but more...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
WHAT TO BUY IN A RISING RATE ENVIRONMENT
There is a consistent pattern to the performance of stocks in rising rate environments. TPA has been telling clients about these patterns...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
ALL IS WELL AS LONG AS VALUATION DOES NOT MATTER ANYMORE
The market’s march higher has been steady and the drumbeat of analysts and pundits is consistently positive. The benchmark S&P500 is now...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
THIS IS A MARKET AT EXTREMES
THIS IS A MARKET AT EXTREMES TPA’s models have worked well for the past 11 years. Recently, we have had more trouble and that seems to be...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
TPA's weekly Top 10 Buys and Top 10 Sells
Every Monday TPA publishes a list of its Recent Top 10 Buys and Top 10 Sells. These are high conviction recommendations that have...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
A SMALL LOSS FOR BIGTECH HAS MEANT HUGE GAINS FOR HUNDREDS OF STOCKS
A SMALL LOSS FOR BIGTECH HAS MEANT HUGE GAINS FOR HUNDREDS OF STOCKS After monopolizing investor’s attention for most of 2020, something...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20231 min read
A QUICK TEMPERATURE CHECK SHOWS THE MARKET HAS A FEVER
Given the unprecedented economic situation that has unfolded due to the pandemic, it is difficult to use standard valuation metrics to...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
GET READY FOR MORE FAT TAIL MARKET EVENTS
GET READY FOR MORE FAT TAIL MARKET EVENTS On 9/3/20 TPA told clients that it had added a new alert to the Canaries in the Coalmine –...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
HISTORY TELLS US THE HOUSING MARKET WILL BE FINE IF RATES RISE
HISTORY TELLS US THE HOUSING MARKET WILL BE FINE IF RATES RISE General wisdom is that when the U.S. Treasury rates rise, mortgage rates...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
THE MARKET IS ACTING LIKE THE ELECTION IS OVER, BUT IT IS FAR FROM OVER
THE MARKET IS ACTING LIKE THE ELCTION IS OVER, BUT IT IS FAR FROM OVER In the past 4 days the S&P500 and the Nasdaq 100 have rallied 7.3%...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20233 min read
TPA MARKET GAMEPLAN FOR THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
TPA MARKET GAMEPLAN FOR THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION TPA sees 2 drastically different performance patterns forming depending on the outcome...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
WHAT OUTPERFORMS HISTORICALLY WHEN RATES RISE
WHAT OUTPERFORMS HISTORICALLY WHEN RATES RISE The U.S. 10 Year Yield has risen from a 30-year low of 0.5069% on 8/4/20 to Friday’s close...
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jeffreymarcus3
May 2, 20232 min read
TIME TO BUY COUNTRIES THAT ARE CHEAP VS. EXPENSIVE ON A HISTORICAL BASIS - USING ETFs
TIME TO BUY COUNTRIES THAT ARE CHEAP VS. EXPENSIVE ON A HISTORICAL BASIS - USING ETFs The performance pattern for several years has been...
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